when republicans first theratened to default on the national debt unless president obama and decocrats would agree to deep spending cuts---- and then pushed negotiations until the finalhour--- the economic toll was unexpectedly
severe. Standard & Poor’s (MHP)
downgraded U.S. debt for the first time and consumer confidence
plunged, hurting growth and slowing the recovery, as this chart makes
clear:
Data: Gallup
Republican
hostage-taking in 2011 won them huge cuts in discretionary spending in
the form of the sequester. Since then, they’ve repeated the extortion
play, each time with diminishing results. Yesterday’s decision by House
Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) to pass a “clean” debt-ceiling bill
represents an end—for now—to the extortion and a total capitulation to
Obama. A lot of commentators pooh-poohed the significance of passing a
clean debt-ceiling bill since it was bound to be the outcome,
eventually. The only question was how much harm Republicans would
inflict on themselves getting there.
Still, it’s an important
development, if only because it avoided repeating the economic damage
laid out in the chart above (assuming the Senate goes along, which it
probably will). This outbreak of common sense isn’t likely to herald a
new, productive chapter in congressional relations between the two
parties. So far, it extends only to such “must-pass” bills as the
debt-ceiling raise, without which the alternative would be harmful or
disastrous to the Republican Party—and, in many cases, lots of people.
What this probably does herald is a return to a focus on the
fight Republicans really do want to wage—the one about how terrible
Obamacare is. That won’t be a productive fight, at least not in terms of
the economy. But it won’t do much harm, either. By recent measures,
that’s no small achievement for Congress.
Wednesday, 12 February 2014
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